Abstract:Predictive microbiology is the quantitative prediction method that based on the computer,and it can predict the growth,the survivance,the death of microorganism in food.It is simple,effi cient,predictable,and so on,and has been widely used in food safety and quality management and production technology.This paper briefly reviewed the concept,common methods,model classifi cation verifi cation,and software characteristic of predictive microbiology.In addition,the application and existing problems of predictive microbiology in the meat industry and also introduced.Lastly,the future development trend of the predictive picrobiology was prospected.