Abstract：Mathematical models were established and validated for quick and accurate prediction of the growth of Brochothrix thermosphacta in chilled minced pork with a lean-to-fat ratio of 7:3 during storage at different temperatures (0, 5, 10, 15 ℃and 20 ℃). The growth of Brochothrix thermosphacta at 0–20 ℃could be described by the Gompertz equation, each with a R2 value of larger than 0.99. The overall average bias factor and accuracy factor were calculated to be 1.16 and 0.88, respectively. The relationships of temperature with maximum growth rate and lag phase were described by the Belehradek mode as linear. As a result, all the predictive models had good prediction ability.
2012, Vol. 26 
